情报科学 ›› 2022, Vol. 40 ›› Issue (4): 79-89.

• 业务研究 • 上一篇    下一篇

从情报风险到风险情报:循证视阈下公共卫生应急情报风险湍流感知 

  

  • 出版日期:2022-04-01 发布日期:2022-05-15

  • Online:2022-04-01 Published:2022-05-15

摘要: 【目的/意义】应急情报是公共危机决策的保障,但是其在赋能风险治理的过程中却可能孳生各类情报风险
湍流。全方位感知公共卫生应急情报风险是发挥应急情报风险治理功能的前提。【方法
/过程】构建基于循证的公
共卫生应急情报风险三维感知框架,从公共价值、科学证据、主体智慧三个维度对公共卫生应急情报风险进行广谱
系、全景式透视。【结果
/结论】以新冠肺炎疫情为例,结合公共卫生突发事件演化周期,运用三维感知框架对每一维
度子系统引发的应急情报模块化风险进行识别,形成突发公共卫生事件场域中互相影响、缠绕的“风险湍流”的“问
题清单”。【创新
/局限】引入循证理念,构建全流程的应急情报风险三维感知框架,通过公共卫生应急情报风险识
别,最大程度地发挥“风险情报”资源束和策略集功能。本文只是基于新冠肺炎疫情的个案分析,未来,可进行应急
情报风险测量及治理研究。

Abstract: Purpose/significanceEmergency intelligence is the guarantee of public crisis decision-making, but it may breed various intelligence risk turbulences in the process of enabling risk management.A comprehensive perception of public health emergency intel⁃ligence risk is a prerequisite for the function of emergency intelligence risk management.Method/processConstruct an evidencebased three-dimensional perception framework of public health emergency intelligence risk, and carry out a broad-spectrum and pan⁃oramic perspective of public health emergency intelligence risk from the three dimensions of public value, scientific evidence, and sub⁃ject wisdom.Result/conclusionTaking COVID-19 as an example, combined with the evolution cycle of public health emergencies,the three-dimensional perception framework is used to identify the modular risks of emergency intelligence triggered by each dimen⁃
sion of the subsystem, forming a mutual influence and entanglement in the field of public health emergencies."Question List" for "Risk Turbulence".
Innovation/limitationIntroduce evidence-based concepts, build a full-process emergency intelligence risk threedimensional perception framework, and maximize the function of "risk intelligence" resource bundles and strategy sets through public health emergency intelligence risk identification.This article is only based on a case analysis of the new crown pneumonia epidemic.In the future, emergency intelligence risk measurement and governance research can be conducted.