Variations and correlations of runoffs and sediment loads in the main stream of the upper reaches of the Yellow River over the past 60 years
XU Wenlong, ZHAO Guangju, MU Xingmin, GAO Peng, SUN Wenyi
1. State Key Laboratory of Soil Erosion and Dryland Farming on the Loess Plateau, Institute of Soil and Water Conservation, Chinese Academy of Sciences and Ministry of Water Resources, 712100, Yangling, Shaanxi, China;
2. University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, 100049, Beijing, China;
3. State Key Laboratory of Soil Erosion and Dryland Farming on the Loess Plateau, Northwest A & F University, 712100, Yangling, Shaanxi, China
Abstract:[Background] Climate change and intensive human activities have greatly altered the terrain landscapes, and further resulted in significant changes in hydrological processes throughout the world. In recent years, changes of the ecological environment in the upper reaches of the Yellow River have affected the life of downstream public due to natural and human factors. The objective of this study is to quantify the spatial and temporal variation of runoff and sediment load in the upper reaches of the Yellow River and their potential causes. Better understanding of the variations of runoff and sediment load is greatly helpful for soil and water conservation, water resources planning and Yellow River basin management.[Methods] This study systematically analyzed the variations of runoff and sediment load in the upper reaches of the Yellow River from 1950 to 2012 based on the observed data from 10 hydrological stations with some hydrological statistical methods. The non-parametric Mann-Kendall test and Spearman's rank correlation test were utilized to characterize the trends of hydrologic variables in the upper reaches of the Yellow River. The accumulative annual anomaly and wavelet transform method were applied to evaluate the abrupt changes and periodic characteristics of runoff and sediment load over the study period.[Results] 1) Both multi-year average runoff and sediment load showed decreasing trends over the past 6 decades at 10 hydrological stations from Tangnaihai to Toudaoguai in the upper reaches of the Yellow River, and reducing trend in the most of stations was significant (P<0.01), while the changes at the Tangnaihai hydrological station did not display a significant trend. 2) The multi-year average runoff and sediment load were positively correlated, although both exhibited reduction trends. 3) The abrupt change points of annual runoff and sediment load occurred in 1968, 1985, 1986 and 1989, which were strongly related to the operation of large reservoirs Longyangxia and Liujiaxia. 4) The wavelet transform of monthly runoff and sediment load at 10 hydrological stations showed 0.5-1, 3-5, and 7-9 years periodical fluctuation. The significant wavelet spectrum of runoff and sediment load was mainly detected before 1970s or 1990s with a period of 0.5-1 years at confidence level of 95%, but later the periodicity features became more and more insignificant and even disappeared. 5) The average annual runoff showed increasing-decreasing shift from upstream to downstream stations, while the annual sediment load had stepwise increasing trend. The average runoff and sediment load after the 1990s were lower than the multi-year average, indicating that the runoff and sediment load in the upper reaches of the Yellow River decreased significantly in recent years.[Conclusions] Both annual runoff and sediment load from Tangnaihai to Toudaoguai hydrological stations showed significantly decreasing trends. The major cause resulting in the reduction of runoff and sediment load in the upper reaches of the Yellow River were large water conservancy project, irrigation, and soil and water conservation measures on some tributaries.
许文龙1,2, 赵广举1,3, 穆兴民1,3, 高鹏1,3, 孙文义1,3. 近60年黄河上游干流水沙变化及其关系[J]. 中国水土保持科学, 2018, 16(6): 38-47.
XU Wenlong, ZHAO Guangju, MU Xingmin, GAO Peng, SUN Wenyi. Variations and correlations of runoffs and sediment loads in the main stream of the upper reaches of the Yellow River over the past 60 years. SSWC, 2018, 16(6): 38-47.
刘昌明, 张学成. 黄河干流实际来水量不断减少的成因分析[J]. 地理学报, 2004, 59(3):323. LIU Changming, ZHANG Xuecheng. Causal analysis on actual water flow reduction in the mainstream of the Yellow River[J].Acta Geographica Sinica, 2004, 59(3):323.
[2]
胡春宏. 黄河水沙变化与治理方略研究[J]. 水力发电学报, 2016, 35(10):1. HU Chunhong.Changes in runoff and sediment loads of the Yellow River and its management strategies[J]. Journal of Hydroelectric Engineering, 2016, 35(10):1.
[3]
ZHAO Guangju, LI Erhui, MU Xingmin, et al. Changing trends and regime shift of streamflow in the Yellow River basin[J]. Stochastic Environmental Research & Risk Assessment, 2015, 29(5):1331.
[4]
WANG Shuai, FU Bojie, PIAO Shilong, et al. Reduced sediment transport in the Yellow River due to anthropogenic changes[J]. Nature Geoscience, 2016, 9(1):38.
[5]
李林, 汪青春, 张国胜, 等. 黄河上游气候变化对地表水的影响[J]. 地理学报, 2004, 59(5):716. LI Lin, WANG Qingchun, ZHANG Guosheng,et al. The influence of climate change on surface water in the Upper Yellow River[J]. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2004, 59(5):716.
[6]
李二辉, 穆兴民, 赵广举. 1919-2010年黄河上中游区径流量变化分析[J]. 水科学进展, 2014, 25(2):155. LI Erhui, MU Xingmin, ZHAO Guangju.Temporal changes in annual runoff and influential factors in the upper and middle reaches of Yellow River from 1919-2010[J].Advances in Water Science, 2014, 25(2):155.
[7]
穆兴民, 胡春宏, 高鹏, 等. 黄河输沙量研究的几个关键问题与思考[J]. 人民黄河, 2017, 39(8):1. MU Xingmin, HU Chunhong, GAO Peng,et al.Key issues and reflections of research on sediment flux of the Yellow River[J]. Yellow River, 2017, 39(8):1.
[8]
刘衍君, 于洪军, 曹建荣, 等. 黄河上游水文周期成分和突变特征的小波分析[J]. 人民黄河, 2010, 32(6):27. LIU Yanjun, YU Hongjun, CAO Jianrong,et al.Analysis on wavelet of water periodic composition and saltation characteristics of the Upper Yellow River[J]. Yellow River, 2010, 32(6):27.
[9]
黄强. 河川径流时间序列分析预测理论与方法[M]. 郑州:黄河水利出版社, 2008:17. HUANG Qiang.Prediction theory and method of river runoff time series analysis[M]. Zhengzhou:Yellow River Water Conservancy Press, 2008:17.
[10]
张仁铎. 空间变异理论及应用[M]. 北京:科学出版社, 2005:10. ZHANG Renduo. Theory and application of spatial variability[M]. Beijing:Science Press, 2005:10.
[11]
YUE Sheng, PILON P, CAVADIAS G. Power of the Mann-Kendall and Spearman's rho tests for detecting monotonic trends in hydrological series[J]. Journal of Hydrology, 2002, 259(1):254.
[12]
BURN D H, ELNUR M A H. Detection of hydrologic trends and variability[J]. Journal of Hydrology, 2002, 255(1):107.
[13]
王随继, 闫云霞, 颜明, 等. 皇甫川流域降水和人类活动对径流量变化的贡献率分析:累积量斜率变化率比较方法的提出及应用[J]. 地理学报, 2012, 67(3):388. WANG Suiji, YAN Yunxia,YAN Ming, et al.Contributions of precipitation and human activities to the runoff change of the Huangfuchuan drainage basin:Application of comparative method of the slope changing ratio of cumulative quantity[J].Acta Geographica Sinica, 2012, 67(3):388.
[14]
赵广举, 穆兴民, 田鹏, 等. 近60年黄河中游水沙变化趋势及其影响因素分析[J]. 资源科学, 2012, 34(6):1070. ZHAO Guangju, MU Xingmin, TIAN Peng, et al.The Variation trend of streamflow and sediment flux in the Middle Reaches of Yellow River over the past 60 years and the influencing factors[J]. Resources Science, 2012, 34(6):1070.
[15]
MIAO Chiyuan, NI Jinren. Variation of natural streamflow since 1470 in the Middle Yellow River, China[J]. International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health, 2009, 6(11):2849.
[16]
郭彦, 侯素珍, 胡恬, 等. 龙刘水库联合运用对黄河上游径流量变化的影响[J]. 水电能源科学, 2014, 8:39. GUO Yan, HOU Suzhen, HU Tian, et al.Influences of Longyangxia and Liujiaxia Reservoirs joint operation on runoff of upper reaches of Yellow River[J].Water Resources and Power, 2014, 8:39.
[17]
侯素珍, 王平, 楚卫斌. 黄河上游水沙变化及成因分析[J]. 泥沙研究, 2012(4):46. HOU Suzhen, WANG Ping, CHU Weibin.Analysis of water and sediment changes in upper Yellow River[J]. Journal of Sediment Research, 2012(4):46.
[18]
桑燕芳, 王中根, 刘昌明. 小波分析方法在水文学研究中的应用现状及展望[J]. 地理科学进展, 2013, 32(9):1413. SANG Yanfang, WANG Zhonggen, LIU Changming. Applications of wavelet analysis to hydrology:Status and prospects[J]. Progress in Geography, 2013, 32(9):1413.
[19]
张强, 陈桂亚, 许崇育, 等. 长江流域水沙周期特征及可能影响原因[J]. 水科学进展, 2009, 20(1):80. ZHANG Qiang, CHEN Guiya, XU Chongyu, et al.Periodic characters of sediment load and runoff changes in the Yangtze River basin in the past 40 years, China[J]. Advances in Water Science, 2009, 20(1):80.
[20]
姚文艺, 张晓华, 高亚军, 等. 黄河沙漠宽谷段水沙变化特征及驱动因素[J]. 中国沙漠, 2017, 37(2):361. YAO Wenyi, ZHANG Xiaohua, GAO Yajun, et al.Features of runoff and sediment variations in wide-valleyed desert reach of Upper Yellow River and contribution rate of driving factors for the variations[J]. Journal of Desert Research, 2017, 37(2):361.