情报科学 ›› 2021, Vol. 39 ›› Issue (4): 68-74.

• 理论研究 • 上一篇    下一篇

基于信号理论的折扣信息帖流行度影响因素研究

  

  • 出版日期:2021-04-01 发布日期:2021-04-09

  • Online:2021-04-01 Published:2021-04-09

摘要:

【目的/意义】折扣信息分享社区每天都发布大量的价格折扣信息帖,不同折扣信息帖的流行度差异很大。
分析影响折扣信息帖流行度的各种因素,有助于提升折扣信息帖的发布质量,指导消费者理性判断,同时为社区进
行折扣信息帖管理和推荐提供依据。【方法/过程】本文基于信号理论,从消费者作为折扣促销信息的发布主体这个
新角度出发,识别出发帖人特征和折扣信息贴内容特征两类信号作为研究的自变量,将折扣信息帖的收藏量和点
赞量作为流行度的测量,采用负二项回归模型对各种信号和流行度的关系进行了实证检验。【结果/结论】研究发现
发帖人获得大V认证、折扣信息帖中的折扣比例更大、内容表述更详尽、信息载体更生动,以及被更多标签收录都
有助于折扣信息帖的流行,而发帖人先前贡献更多的折扣信息帖,以及匿名发帖都不利于折扣信息帖的流行。【创
新/局限】首次以信号理论为分析框架,揭示了社交电商场景下消费者对折扣信息帖参与行为的影响因素,但数据
仅来源于单一的观测数据集,还可结合其它研究范式进行分析。

Abstract:

【Purpose/significance】Lots of deal threads are posted every day in the deal-sharing community, and the popularity of differ⁃
ent deal threads vary greatly. Understanding the factors which affect the popularity of deal threads help to improve deal thread writing,
to guide consumers to make rational judgments, provide a guideline for the community to manage and recommend deal threads.【Meth⁃
od/process】Based on the signaling theory, we identified two types of signals related to thread writers and thread contents, and took the
numbers of favorites and likes in the threads as the measurement of thread popularity. We chose the negative binomial regression mod⁃
el to empirically test the relationship between the independent variables and popularity.【Result/conclusion】The results show that too
many threads previously contributed by the thread writer are harmful to the popularity of his posts, while obtaining the big V certifica⁃
tion is conducive to the popularity of his posts. Deal threads with larger discount rates and tag numbers, with elaboration and vivid⁃
ness, are more likely to be welcomed by consumers, while anonymity will reduce the popularity of the posts.【Innovation/limitation】
We firstly use the signaling theory to reveal the factors affecting consumers' engagement behavior to deal threads in social commerce
context. The research data are derived from a single observational dataset, and other research paradigms could be applied to enrich the
study.